Temperature mediates variation in avian sensitivity to forest cover
Natasha R. Granville · Jessica J. Williams · Vivienne P. Groner · Jos Barlow · Matthew G. Betts · Gergana N. Daskalova · Robert M. Ewers · Luiz dos Anjos · Victor Arroyo-Rodriguez · Luc Barbaro · Alexis Cerezo · Pedro F. Develey · Jack H. Hatfield · Hervé Jactel · Jordan Karubian · Urs G. Kormann · Jesse R. Lasky · Charles J. Marsh · Luiz A. M. Mestre · José Carlos Morante-Filho · Pieter Olivier · Benjamin T. Phalan · Anna M. Pidgeon · Vânia Proença · Julien Terraube · Alexandre Uezu · Eric M. Wood · Alex L. Pigot · Cristina Banks-Leite
期刊Nature Ecology & Evolution / Nat Ecol Evol
类型Article
发表2026-08-28 (online)
卷期页10(10): 1914-1926
收录2026-10-10
被浏览…
关键词forest covertemperatureheat tolerancemicroclimatemacroclimateland use changespecies distributionbiodiversity changebird populations
标签—
Emerging evidence shows that responses to deforestation can differ both across species and among populations of the same species. The reasons underlying these complex patterns are unclear, and this lack of clarity is a barrier to accurate monitoring and prediction of biodiversity change. Using data from 2,262 bird species across 7,326 sites from all forested continents, we show that between-species and within-species variations in responses to forest cover are mediated by temperature. Populations in warmer macroclimates tend to decline in incidence in deforested landscapes because hotter microclimates push them closer to their species’ realized upper thermal tolerance limits. By contrast, populations in cooler macroclimates tend to be less affected by or even benefit from deforestation, as microclimatic temperatures are pushed closer to more optimal temperatures. Our findings offer an empirically grounded framework for biodiversity models that move beyond fixed species responses and incorporate interactions between temperature and land-use change.

@article{granville2026,
author = {Natasha R. Granville and Jessica J. Williams and Vivienne P. Groner and Jos Barlow and Matthew G. Betts and Gergana N. Daskalova and Robert M. Ewers and Luiz dos Anjos and Victor Arroyo-Rodriguez and Luc Barbaro and Alexis Cerezo and Pedro F. Develey and Jack H. Hatfield and Hervé Jactel and Jordan Karubian and Urs G. Kormann and Jesse R. Lasky and Charles J. Marsh and Luiz A. M. Mestre and José Carlos Morante-Filho and Pieter Olivier and Benjamin T. Phalan and Anna M. Pidgeon and Vânia Proença and Julien Terraube and Alexandre Uezu and Eric M. Wood and Alex L. Pigot and Cristina Banks-Leite},
title = {Temperature mediates variation in avian sensitivity to forest cover},
journal = {Nature Ecology \& Evolution},
year = {2026},
volume = {10},
number = {10},
pages = {1914-1926},
doi = {10.1038/s41559-026-03160-9},
publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
}· END ·