One Earth2026Article

识别保护差距：评估国家对30×30目标贡献的框架

Identifying conservation gaps: A framework for evaluating national contributions to the 30 × 30 target

Pil B.M. Pedersen · Anders H. Petersen · Derek Corcoran · Niels Madsen · Jens-Christian Svenning · Karen Timmermann · Berit C. Kaae · Theis Kragh · Birgitte Egelund Olsen · Niels Strange · Signe Normand · Carsten Rahbek

1. 信息

DOI10.1016/j.oneear.2026.101620

期刊One Earth

类型Article

发表2026-04

卷期页9(4): 101620

收录2026-10-04

被浏览…

关键词protected area effectiveness Natura 2000 biodiversity conservation national reporting conservation gaps land use compatibility Denmark

标签—

2. 摘要

有效的保护对于阻止和逆转生物多样性的丧失至关重要。尽管国际生物多样性政策设定了雄心勃勃的生物多样性目标，目标是到2030年保护30%的陆地和海洋，但哪些内容应计入该目标仍不明确。本研究引入了基于科学的运营框架，以对国家对30×30目标的贡献进行严格评估。将其应用于丹麦则暴露出当局报告的受保护与真正有效保护之间的重大差异。研究结果显示，该框架能够识别保护缺口，支持实现30×30目标的实际进展。该框架在欧盟成员国广泛采纳将增强保护报告的公信力和政策相关性。如果没有严格的评估，30×30目标有可能成为象征性的变革驱动力。

原文摘要（English）

International biodiversity policies call for protecting 30% of land and sea by 2030, requiring countries to demonstrate genuine progress toward this target. The pan-European Natura 2000 network of protected areas is currently considered to contribute by default. However, without rigorous assessments of protection effectiveness, official statistics risk substantially overestimating progress and undermining the target.Here, we introduce a science-based operational framework to rigorously assess national contributions to the 30 × 30 target. Applying this framework to Denmark using geospatial analysis reveals a stark discrepancy between reported and effective protection: although authorities report 15% of land and 29% of sea as protected, only 1.7% and 1.9% genuinely contribute. More than one-third of Danish Natura 2000 areas include land uses incompatible with long-term biodiversity protection.Our findings show that, without rigorous evaluation of protection effectiveness, national reporting can substantially overestimate progress. A science-based operational framework is essential to achieve the 30 × 30 target.

3. 图表

4. 引用

Pedersen P B, Petersen A H, Corcoran D, et al. Identifying conservation gaps: A framework for evaluating national contributions to the 30 × 30 target[J]. One Earth, 2026, 9(4): 101620. DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2026.101620.

查看 BibTeX

@article{pedersen2026,
  author = {Pil B.M. Pedersen and Anders H. Petersen and Derek Corcoran and Niels Madsen and Jens-Christian Svenning and Karen Timmermann and Berit C. Kaae and Theis Kragh and Birgitte Egelund Olsen and Niels Strange and Signe Normand and Carsten Rahbek},
  title = {Identifying conservation gaps: A framework for evaluating national contributions to the 30 × 30 target},
  journal = {One Earth},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {9},
  number = {4},
  pages = {101620},
  doi = {10.1016/j.oneear.2026.101620},
  publisher = {Elsevier BV},
}

· END ·